Lambdia

Lattice model finance

2 articles

One Subtraction Prices the Barrier Option Nobody Has a Formula For

An American call that only wakes up at 80 and dies for good at 125 has no closed form, and it cannot be simulated either, because a path runs forward while the exercise decision looks back. Every path that avoids the ceiling either visited the floor or never did, so the contract is one knock-out minus another and both come off a standard tree. The identity is exact to machine precision for European exercise at all seven grids tested, and for American exercise only in the continuous limit: the finite-tree residual falls from 0.532 percent at 45 steps to 0.043 percent at 3,394.

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A Double Knock-Out Is Worth Less Than Half the Two One-Sided Options

The sharp statement is stronger than the usual one: on every path, missing the ceiling plus missing the floor counts the paths that miss both exactly twice, so the pair is twice the double plus the value of the one-sided survivors. That is a polynomial identity in indicators, so it holds under every pricing measure with no volatility anywhere, and one half is the tight bound. In a worked instance the pair is 10.317 against a double of 1.494, and the fastest refutation of the trap is that the pair exceeds the plain call with no barriers at all.

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