Lambdia

Vector addition

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Volatilities Add Like Arrows, Not Like Numbers

Two stocks each swinging 20 percent a year with a correlation of one half give their product a volatility of 20 root 3, or 34.641 percent, rather than 40. Adding the two numbers is correct at exactly one correlation, namely 1, because the composite volatility is the law of cosines with the correlation as the cosine of the angle between two arrows. Pricing the call at 40 percent overstates it by 14.2 percent and ignoring the correlation understates it by 16.9 percent, and the other diagonal of the same parallelogram prices the ratio of the two stocks.

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