Lambdia

Stopping time

2 artículos

The Put That Never Expires Has One Number for a Rule

An American put struck at 100 on a stock at 100, with no expiry date at all, is worth 23.21 when the rate is 5% and the volatility 30%. Removing the clock removes the time derivative from the pricing equation, which turns it into an ordinary differential equation solved by powers, and the exercise boundary collapses from a curve into the single level 1000/19 = 52.63. Its European twin, which cannot be exercised early, is worth exactly nothing, so every cent of the value is the right to stop.

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The Right to Stop a Balanced Deck Is Worth $2.62

Turning all fifty-two cards lands on exactly zero, which makes zero the floor rather than the value. Backward induction over the grid of remaining cards gives the exact rational 41984711742427/15997372030584, and a two-line argument shows the optimal policy can never finish below zero in any deal. The article carries the small-deck ladder, the stopping boundary the table actually produces, and two plausible rules that lose money against it.

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