Lambdia

Propagation of uncertainty

1 artículo

How Many Barbers Work in Chicago? Count Haircuts, Not Barbers

Multiply 2.7 million residents by six haircuts a year, divide by the 2,000 a barber delivers, and the city needs about 8,100. The tempting shortcut, one barber per thousand people, is the answer asserted rather than built, and it is off by a factor of three. The real result is a band: all 27 halve-or-double corners land between 1,012 and 64,800, because three independent log errors add in quadrature and give a factor of 3.32 rather than 8.

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