Lambdia

Geometric distribution

4 artículos

Three Children, One Coin, and Eight Thirds of a Flip

A fair coin cuts probabilities into halves and quarters, and a short argument about the prime factorisation of two shows it can never reach one third in a bounded number of flips. Dropping the bound fixes it: flip twice, bin the tail-tail, and each child holds exactly a third for 8/3 flips on average. That naive scheme turns out to be the best any coin-flipping procedure can do for three outcomes, which stops being true at five.

0

Reroll the Ones and the Die Is Worth Four

Three and a half is the exact average of a plain die, which is why it survives being double-checked. The rule does not reweight six outcomes, it deletes one, leaving a uniform payoff on five faces and an answer of four. The procedure costs 1.2 rolls on average, and the version where the reroll is your choice is a different game worth 4.25.

0